We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience.
This includes personalizing content and advertising.
By pressing "Accept All" or closing out of this banner, you consent to the use of all cookies and similar technologies and the sharing of information they collect with third parties.
You can reject marketing cookies by pressing "Deny Optional," but we still use essential, performance, and functional cookies.
In addition, whether you "Accept All," Deny Optional," click the X or otherwise continue to use the site, you accept our Privacy Policy and Terms of Service, revised from time to time.
You are being directed to ZacksTrade, a division of LBMZ Securities and licensed broker-dealer. ZacksTrade and Zacks.com are separate companies. The web link between the two companies is not a solicitation or offer to invest in a particular security or type of security. ZacksTrade does not endorse or adopt any particular investment strategy, any analyst opinion/rating/report or any approach to evaluating individual securities.
If you wish to go to ZacksTrade, click OK. If you do not, click Cancel.
Netflix Earnings Preview: A Diamond in the Magnificent 7 Rough
Key Takeaways
Mag 7 stocks have plunged amid tariff uncertainty and market volatility.
Ahead of Q1 earnings, Netflix is uniquely positioned to outperform due to its tariff immunity.
Netflix's low valuation and strong EPS surprise history bode well for the stock.
Amid Wall Street volatility, most “Magnificent 7” stocks have suffered violent drawdowns thus far in 2025. However, Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock Netflix ((NFLX - Free Report) ) has bucked the market weakness ahead of its Q1 earnings release on Thursday. While Netflix is consistently overlooked versus its big tech peers, there are five key reasons investors should not forget about the leading streaming giant, including:
1. Netflix is Mostly Immune from Tariffs
A centerpiece of President Donald Trump’s second term is to decrease reliance on the international market, decrease (and ultimately balance) trade deficits, and make trade fairer for the United States. However, the Trump Administration’ssomewhat confusing and everchangingtariff policy isone of the most signficant question marks for “Magnificent 7” stocks like Amazon ((AMZN - Free Report) ),Microsoft ((MSFT - Free Report) ),Apple ((AAPL - Free Report) ),Nvidia ((NVDA - Free Report) ), and Tesla ((TSLA - Free Report) ). Each of these companies has significant production and parts sourced from overseas, subjecting them to tariffs.
Netflix, on the other hand, is the only big tech stock that is largely unaffected by the uncertainty surrounding the current trade policy. Digital services like Netflix are currently not a top priority for the Trump Administration because the United States already enjoys a large trade surplus in digital services. In addition, digital goods are not beholden to tariffs under the World Trade Organization (WTO) policy.
2. Netflix is the Fastest Growing Mag 7 Name
Last quarter, Netflix earnings bolted 102% year-over-year, making it the fastest-growing Mag 7 name. Despite intense competition from Amazon’s Prime, Alphabet’s ((GOOGL - Free Report) ) YouTube TV & YouTube Premium, and the Disney ((DIS - Free Report) ) Plus streaming services, Netflix’s management has done a masterful job of growing the company. Here’s how:
Password Sharing Crackdown: For years, Netflix customers enjoyed a loophole that allowed them to share Netflix subscriptions with friends. However, in mid-2023, Netflix finally cracked down on password sharing. The results? NFLX recorded its highest use acquisition days in history.
Content Powerhouse: Against all odds, Netflix has transformed from a streaming service to a major movie studio with wildly popular “Netflix Originals” like Bird Box andThe Irishman. Over the past few years, Netflix has capitalized further by investing more money into originals and attracting well-known Hollywood stars. In addition, Netflix is attracting broader viewership through regional programming bolstered by partnerships with Verizon ((VZ - Free Report) ) and AT&T ((T - Free Report) ).
International Growth: In recent quarters,Netflix has expanded its international footprint to markets like India Mexico, and Spain. As Netflix slowly attracts new customers its international advertising revenue should soar.
Higher Prices: In January, Netflix increased prices on its standard, ad-free, premium ad-free, and extra member subscriptions. Though consumers never like paying higher prices, Netflix’s broad and expanding content library gives the company best-in-breed pricing power.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
3. Netflix’s Historically Low Valuation
Though NFLX shares have performed well over the past few years, shares are cheap. NFLX’s price-to-earnings ratio of 46.96x means shares are hovering near their “cheapest” levels over the past decade. While a 46 p/e may seem high to investors, context is essential. Because Netflix highest and most consistent growth versus “Mag 7” names, investors are willing to pay a premium.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
4. Netflix Exhibits Relative Strength
The best time to look for long-term RS opportunities is within a bear market. New, inexperienced investors tend to get frustrated and give up during bear markets. Conversely, savvy investors understand that bear markets present easily identifiable extremes. Because 75% of stocks follow the general market’s direction, you would expect most stocks to fall amid tariff concerns. However, NFLX shares have recently decoupled from the Mag 7 and the general market. While all Mag 7 names and the Nasdaq 100 Index ((QQQ - Free Report) ) are stuck below their 200-day moving averages, NFLX has carved out a picture-perfect double-bottom base structure above it – a sign of relative price strength.
Image Source: TradingView
5. Bullish Earnings Surprise History
Netflix has a bullish earnings surprise history, beating Zacks Consensus Analyst Estimates for four consecutive quarters.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Though NFLX is positioned well, there are some concerns on the bearish side. First, Wall Street analysts have soured on the company over the past few months, leading to a negative Zacks Earnings Expected Surprise Prediction (ESP) score. Second, the general market environment remains uncertain.
Bottom Line
While most “Magnificent 7” and big tech stocks have experienced significant declines amidst Wall Street’s volatile start to 2025, Netflix stands out as a resilient performer ahead of its upcoming Q1 earnings report on Thursday. This strength is due to several factors, including its insulation from tariffs, leading growth rate, historically low valuation, relative price strength, and consistent earnings surprise track record.
See More Zacks Research for These Tickers
Normally $25 each - click below to receive one report FREE:
Image: Bigstock
Netflix Earnings Preview: A Diamond in the Magnificent 7 Rough
Key Takeaways
Amid Wall Street volatility, most “Magnificent 7” stocks have suffered violent drawdowns thus far in 2025. However, Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock Netflix ((NFLX - Free Report) ) has bucked the market weakness ahead of its Q1 earnings release on Thursday. While Netflix is consistently overlooked versus its big tech peers, there are five key reasons investors should not forget about the leading streaming giant, including:
1. Netflix is Mostly Immune from Tariffs
A centerpiece of President Donald Trump’s second term is to decrease reliance on the international market, decrease (and ultimately balance) trade deficits, and make trade fairer for the United States. However, the Trump Administration’ssomewhat confusing and everchangingtariff policy isone of the most signficant question marks for “Magnificent 7” stocks like Amazon ((AMZN - Free Report) ), Microsoft ((MSFT - Free Report) ), Apple ((AAPL - Free Report) ), Nvidia ((NVDA - Free Report) ), and Tesla ((TSLA - Free Report) ). Each of these companies has significant production and parts sourced from overseas, subjecting them to tariffs.
Netflix, on the other hand, is the only big tech stock that is largely unaffected by the uncertainty surrounding the current trade policy. Digital services like Netflix are currently not a top priority for the Trump Administration because the United States already enjoys a large trade surplus in digital services. In addition, digital goods are not beholden to tariffs under the World Trade Organization (WTO) policy.
2. Netflix is the Fastest Growing Mag 7 Name
Last quarter, Netflix earnings bolted 102% year-over-year, making it the fastest-growing Mag 7 name. Despite intense competition from Amazon’s Prime, Alphabet’s ((GOOGL - Free Report) ) YouTube TV & YouTube Premium, and the Disney ((DIS - Free Report) ) Plus streaming services, Netflix’s management has done a masterful job of growing the company. Here’s how:
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
3. Netflix’s Historically Low Valuation
Though NFLX shares have performed well over the past few years, shares are cheap. NFLX’s price-to-earnings ratio of 46.96x means shares are hovering near their “cheapest” levels over the past decade. While a 46 p/e may seem high to investors, context is essential. Because Netflix highest and most consistent growth versus “Mag 7” names, investors are willing to pay a premium.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
4. Netflix Exhibits Relative Strength
The best time to look for long-term RS opportunities is within a bear market. New, inexperienced investors tend to get frustrated and give up during bear markets. Conversely, savvy investors understand that bear markets present easily identifiable extremes. Because 75% of stocks follow the general market’s direction, you would expect most stocks to fall amid tariff concerns. However, NFLX shares have recently decoupled from the Mag 7 and the general market. While all Mag 7 names and the Nasdaq 100 Index ((QQQ - Free Report) ) are stuck below their 200-day moving averages, NFLX has carved out a picture-perfect double-bottom base structure above it – a sign of relative price strength.
Image Source: TradingView
5. Bullish Earnings Surprise History
Netflix has a bullish earnings surprise history, beating Zacks Consensus Analyst Estimates for four consecutive quarters.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Though NFLX is positioned well, there are some concerns on the bearish side. First, Wall Street analysts have soured on the company over the past few months, leading to a negative Zacks Earnings Expected Surprise Prediction (ESP) score. Second, the general market environment remains uncertain.
Bottom Line
While most “Magnificent 7” and big tech stocks have experienced significant declines amidst Wall Street’s volatile start to 2025, Netflix stands out as a resilient performer ahead of its upcoming Q1 earnings report on Thursday. This strength is due to several factors, including its insulation from tariffs, leading growth rate, historically low valuation, relative price strength, and consistent earnings surprise track record.